PanARMENIAN.Net - Member of Russia’s Foreign and Defence Policy Council, former director of the Carnegie Moscow Center Dmitri Trenin believes that in the South Caucasus, much depends on the outcome of the conflict in Ukraine.
Trenin is participating in the international round table on "Armenia and the global confrontation between Russia and the West: Results of 2022".
According to him, it is difficult to foresee the future but the conflict between Russia and the West will drag on for 1.5-2 decades, and possibly longer, until the parties agree on new norms, which he said is impossible to say.
According to Trenin, in Eurasia, as well as in the South Caucasus, much depends on the outcome of the conflict in Ukraine. If Russia wins – which he personally expects, since Russia has the resources and the will to win – the situation in Eurasia will be more stable, new opportunities will be created for Russia to act as a system-forming power that ensures order in a significant part of Eurasia.
“If this does not happen, contrary to my expectations, then new conflicts await us,” he said.
He noted that Armenia is a sovereign state that decides for itself which way to choose: “Armenia is an ally, Armenia is a partner in Eurasian integration, but we in Moscow, of course, pay attention to those differences of opinion that we also...
